#RefsFault and Hot Takes: The 2022 NRL Twitter Season Preview
Real ones will remember the staff* at Beyond the Fence ringing in the new NRL season last year with a shoutout from our biggest fan, Tommy Wiseau. Thankfully, Tommy renewed the favour, so let’s welcome back footy.
*See: me.
After the truncated offseason between the 2020 and 2021 season due to COVID, a later Grand Final and subsequent post-season, Triwizard Tournament-esque State of Origin series, this offseason in comparison has felt veritably never-ending.
Now you can’t have the start of the season without a preview, and like last year, we’ve skipped over the boilerplate, cookie-cutter boring stuff here, because quite frankly, asking one man to write a season preview on sixteen teams with the required brevity and nuance is a near-impossible task.
So how do we combat that? By scouring Twitter for the best and the brightest from each fanbase of course.
NRL Twitter is a fascinating place. Hot takes run riot and banter crosses lines, but at the end of the day, we’re all united by the greatest game of all. So who better than to help me write this NRL season preview, than NRL Twitter itself.
I asked a fan from each team to answer a set of questions about their team. Those questions are as follows:
Who was your club’s key gain/signing?
Who was your club’s key loss?
What went right last year?
What went wrong last year?
Who is the next generation that we should look out for?
What is one key question you want answered for this season?
What is your best case scenario this season?
What is your worst case scenario for this season?
Who is your club’s most important player?
Do you have a trial overreaction?
I will credit every person who wrote their team’s section at the top, under the team headline, and leave a link to their Twitter accounts. They are all required follows.
Right, lets get to it.
BRISBANE BRONCOS
Last season: 14th - Missed Finals, 16pts, -249
Contributor: Simo (@simo_393)
Key Signing
Adam Reynolds, doesn’t get much more obvious than that.
Key Loss
Brodie Croft and Anthony Milford.
Ed Note: Real addition by subtraction areas here from Simo.
What Went Right in 2021?
Payne Haas.
That's about it. The forward pack itself is decent and hopefully if that stays we should be an ok football side, provided that Adam Reynolds plays decent minutes.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
The spine was not good.
Last year I would have been happy to replace all 4 of them except Milford. Hopefully this season we see some better play with Reynolds, and hopefully Cory Paix gets a good crack at the hooker role.
The Next Generation
Selwyn Cobbo hopefully.
I'd love to see him stay here and be the player we think he will.
The Key Question
Will the team actually be good now with a halfback?
It's been talked about for years now so now it's time to see.
Best Case Scenario
Top four is absolute best case…but I don’t see that happening.
Ed Note: Neither do I.
Worst Case Scenario
In my opinion, 10-12 range is the worst case scenario.
I personally see 6-8 being likely.
Most Important Player
Again, obviously, it’s Adam Reynolds.
Trial Overreaction
No.
Again, thanks to Simo. Follow him on Twitter @simo_393
CANBERRA RAIDERS
Last Season: 10th - Missed Finals, 22 points, -97
Contributor: Jack Cronin (@jackkcronin)
Key Signing
If you’d asked me a week ago, I would’ve said former Titans captain Jamal Fogarty, who was brought to the club to unleash Jack Wighton and provide some stability in the halves. Unfortunately, his meniscus had other ideas and the Raiders will now be without him for at least the first ten weeks of the season.
With that spanner in the works, I’m going to go a little bit left field and say the addition of Assistant Coach Mick Crawley. He’s been the attacking mastermind behind some brilliant Raiders sides over the years, most notably 2016, and he’s now tasked with repairing the Milk’s spluttering attack. Even from the small sample size of the trials, it looks like the Raiders are going to shift the ball a fair bit more in the forwards and use Wighton on both sides of the field, which are both massive plusses.
Honourable mentions to Nick Cotric, the prodigal son returning home, as well as high-upside bargain buy Adam Elliott, who will both be valuable upgrades to the Raiders weekly 17.
Key Loss
The only significant loss for the Raiders was one that they felt midway through the 2021 season, halfback George Williams. While his sophomore NRL season didn’t match the high standard of his first, George’s attacking wizardry and creative short kicking game were still sorely missed by the Raiders and his departure clearly created fractures amongst the playing group.
Hopefully a full pre-season of preparation and some steady performances from Brad Schneider and Jamal Fogarty will help the Raiders cover George’s departure better than they did throughout last season.
The loss of veteran forwards Sia Soliola and Dunamis Lui will be a huge blow for vibes amongst the boys, however the Milk have more than enough quality young forwards to cover their on-field play.
What Went Right in 2021?
Very, very little.
The Raiders entered the 2021 season as one of the competition heavyweights and ended up meekly whimpering to a 10-14 record. One of the few positives was the emergence of some young outside backs in the back half of the season. Matthew Timoko, Xavier Savage and handsome Harley Smith-Shields all impressed when handed chances last season, and while HSS will miss the entire 2022 campaign with injury, all look to have bright futures in the nation’s capital.
The Raiders also managed to cut a lot of deadwood from the squad over the off-season. Whether it be moving on from the trainwreck that was Curtis Scott or overhauling the slow, aging forward pack, the Raiders made a number of roster moves that have their squad in much better shape for PVL’s version of rugby league.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
Where to begin?
The highly-rated forward pack were all out of shape, the star halfback left mid season, the playing group were unhappy, the game plan didn’t evolve to the new rules, the bench make-up and rotations were spectacularly bad and star players were horribly out of form for large periods of the season.
Fortunately, it was so bad that I’m not sure that it could possibly be worse throughout 2022. At least the expectations this season are significantly lower so the emotional turmoil can’t be as bad?
The Next Generation
The two best prospects on the Raiders who have played less than five NRL games are rapid outside back Xavier Savage and young halfback Brad Schneider.
Both have been standouts in the interrupted NSW Cup/Jersey Flegg seasons since COVID and should have ample opportunities to shine in the NRL throughout this season.
Matthew Timoko is the young player who has the potential to have a real breakout season after establishing himself as a first grader in 2021, with his strong ball carrying likely to cause headaches for opposing centres.
Three players to file away for late in the season or 2023 are middle forward Trey Mooney, hooker Adrian Trevilyan and backrower Harry Rushton. All three will really benefit from the return of NSW Cup and have big wraps from the Canberra coaching staff.
Key Question
Can Ricky Stuart evolve?
In both 2016 and 2019, Ricky led unfancied Raiders teams late into the NRL Finals after previously missing the top 8 and it will be interesting to see if he can lead a similar resurgence in 2022. His treatment of the departing Ryan Sutton suggests that his man-management issues that plagued the 2021 season haven’t gone away, however it will be interesting to see how he adapts tactically to the PVL rules.
Best Case Scenario
I think with the standard of the teams outside of the Panthers, Roosters and Storm, there’s a world in which the Raiders can push for a home elimination final and finish in 5th or 6th.
Unfortunately a lot would have to go right for that to happen and the early injury to Fogarty and strange selections from Stuart don’t fill me with great optimism.
Worst Case Scenario
A sequel to 2021.
The wheels completely fall off Ricky’s Raiders and the Dolphins feast on our roster like vultures to a carcass. I’d be surprised if the Raiders can fall to greater lows than they did last season, but you can always expect the unexpected with the Milk.
Most Important Player
It’s a cliché but the Raiders always seem to go as far as Jack Wighton can take them. The gap between Wighton’s best and worst is bigger than any player in the competition and his form is often a reflection of how the Raiders are tracking.
Following his worst season as a five-eighth, the Raiders desperately need Wighton to bounce-back and find the form that made him a Clive Churchill Medallist and Dally M winner. While Ricky can make as many excuses as he likes for his favourite son, at some point the buck has to stop with Jack.
Trial Overreaction
Elliott Whitehead will have a big bounce back season as a ball-playing lock, Hudson Young will finally take the big leap he’s been teasing for years and the Raiders star-studded forward pack will come to the party a year later than expected with a big season as a unit.
Again, thanks to Jack. Follow him on Twitter @jackkcronin
CANTERBURY BANKSTOWN-BULLDOGS
Last Season: 16th - Missed Finals (wooden spoon, 6th in club history), 8 points, -370
Contributor: Ryan O’Connell (@RyanOak)
Key Signing
It’s undoubtedly Matt Burton.
For all the issues the Dogs have had over the last few seasons – and there’s been many – the lack of quality halves is at the top of the list. You just can’t win football games without at least one good half, and Burton is certainly that.
As just one example of the impact good decision-making from the halves can make, no team has taken worse fifth tackle options for the last two (ten?!) seasons than the Dogs. If Burton can improve that a measly 10%, the Dogs will win more games.
Key Loss
The loss of Adam Elliott will be felt, on the park at least. He’s a quality player and had been one of the few shining lights for the Doggies.
Having said that, off the field, there may be an element of ‘addition by subtraction’ from a culture and discipline perspective, as Elliott was a repeat offender.
What Went Right in 2021?
Um, next question?
Not a lot went right, let’s be brutally honest. However, love him or hate him, Gus Gould knows his footy. Signing him was a major step in the right direction for the club, and probably the biggest thing they did ‘right’ last year.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
Everything.
The simple truth is that the roster lacked talent. You can watch the losses pile up and identify 100 things the Dogs did wrong, but at the end of the day sometimes you just have to admit you just don’t have the cattle.
The Next Generation
I could get tricky here and name a junior squad member no one has heard of, but the reality is that Jake Averillo is still just 21 years of age.
That’s incredibly young, yet it should be obvious to everyone that he has a lot of talent. I’m not completely sold on him being a halfback, but that’s where the Dogs have a need. Perhaps him and Burton can shun the traditional expectations of five-eighth and halfback, and share both duties together.
The Key Question
Can Trent Barrett coach?
The team opened the chequebook in the off-season and signed some quality players. While the Dogs are still a great player or two away from being a serious finals threat, there has been an influx of talent, and the team should be better. If they’re not, questions will need to be asked about whether Barrett is actually a good head coach or not.
Best Case Scenario
Slipping into the top eight would be an amazing achievement and quite the turnaround. I’m not sure they’re quite there yet, but that would definitely qualify as the best-case scenario, for sure.
Worst Case Scenario
Despite the upgrade in talent, the club starts slow, fails to gel, and then finds it hard to build momentum or confidence, and once again finishes near or at the bottom of the ladder.
Most Important Player
It’s Burton, mainly for the reasons I outlined earlier.
The Dogs have a pretty good forward pack, and potentially excellent backline. But that’s all for nought if you don’t have good halves play.
I don’t want to put too much pressure on him, but I’m about to: the Dogs seasons rests on the shoulders of Burton, his boot, and his decision-making. All of those facets only have to be ‘solid’, and the Dogs will win many more games than they did last season. Which, granted, is a low base.
Trial Overreaction
I don’t watch any trial footy. I hate it and never take anything out of it. So my ‘trial overreaction’ is completely underreacting to it.
Again, thanks to Ryan. Follow him on Twitter @RyanOak
CRONULLA-SUTHERLAND SHARKS
Last Season: 9th - Missed Finals, 22 points, -36
Contributor: Michael (@SharksRcb)
Key Signing
Nicho Hynes
I feel Hynes will be the key signing as he’s the big name in the halves and can affect the teams fortunes the most.
Honourable mentions to both Dale Finucane and Cam McInnes shoring up the middle, addressing our main issue from last season, may be the keys.
Key Loss
I don’t believe we will miss a single person who was there in 2021 who isn’t there now.
What Went Right in 2021?
On the field, Will Kennedy took a a giant step from probably-not-a-first-grader to the key guy in our spine, while Connor Tracey had an outstanding season in just about every position on the field.
Off it we signed a coach with a vision and accompanied that by signing three top quality players whilst also shedding some deadwood.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
I would have sacked John Morris earlier, I didn’t believe he was ever up to the role.
In terms of on the pitch , middle defence was at times laughable. That needs to be fixed as the #1 priority. Shaun Johnson’s injuries and other maladies did not help.
Losing Wade Graham for most of the year was also not optimal.
The Next Generation
Kade Dykes, son of Adam. Plays fullback.
Ryan Rivett, young half from Queensland.
Franklin Pele hopefully plays more than the one first grade game.
Key Question
Will we have to buy a halfback for 2023?
That’s the main one. Will Nicho/Matt Moylan or Nicho/Tricko (Braydon Trindall) be an effective pairing? Yes? Great. No? Then we have to spend some money on a halfback.
Best Case Scenario
Premiers?
More accurately though, the best case is that they hit the ground running in attack and Fitzgibbon has the defensive structures worked out.
I believe best case is 5th-6th and a week one finals win. Possibly also week 2
Worst Case Scenario
The worst case scenario is injuries and an inability to keep a cohesive team on the field.
We need to build those relationships and they take time. Miss the finals and panic sets in over Hynes’ role.
Most Important Player
Nicho Hynes.
If he has a strong season Cronulla will make the finals.
Trial Overreaction
Braydon Trindall played himself out of a jersey in the Week 1 trial.
Again, thanks to Michael. Follow him on Twitter @SharksRcb
GOLD COAST TITANS
Last Season: 8th - Lost Qualifying Final 25-24 vs. SYD, 22 points, -3
Contributor: Anthony (@gc_anthony)
Key Signing
This off-season the club has been fairly quiet in the player market, instead relying on the squad that got us into the finals last year to hopefully help us go a few steps further.
But our most noted signing would have to be Isaac Liu from the Roosters who is a great pick up. Liu will add a lot of professionalism and experience to a young pack consisting of Dave Fifita, Tino Fa’asuamaleaui, Mo Fotuiaka and Beau Fermor who are all under 24 years old.
Key Loss
Whilst I personally agree with all of the departures we had over the off season, the player I was most upset to see leave was Jamal Fogarty.
He joined the club in 2020 after we had years of pain following the Garth Brennan era, and was a solid leader who helped drag the club into the finals during his captaincy.
However, I do rate Toby Sexton highly and liked what I saw from him when he got an opportunity last year so I think he will fill Jamal’s shoes well.
What Went Right in 2021?
First and foremost I think making the finals for the first time since 2016 was a huge achievement in itself.
Whilst we had our problems in defence, our attack looked very dangerous most games led by AJ Brimson, Fifita, Jayden Campbell and co. We averaged a solid 24.1 points per game which was a huge improvement from the previous years of 17.3 (2020) and 15.4 (2019).
Our Week 1 finals game against the Roosters was also very impressive, as we fought tooth and nail with one of the top sides in the game, forcing them into errors with some strong defence. If Patty Herbert’s pass would have found hands and led to a try, there’s no saying how deep we would have gone in the finals.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
As mentioned above I think our defence was quite poor at times last year, especially through the middle of the park when the forwards would get fatigued.
Our consistency over the whole 80 minutes was also dreadful as there were countless games last year where we seemed to throw the game away after half time. Losses against Brisbane when up 22-0, 24-10 vs. Souths, and 24-8 vs. Manly leaves a lot to be desired.
As the cliché goes, we need to play for the full 80 minutes.
The Next Generation
As our first trial against Brisbane showed, we have a lot of promising young talent coming through the ranks with some having only just graduated from high school. However two guys I want to focus on are Jojo Fifita and Shallin Fuller.
Fifita, who is a second cousin of David, had his first hit out for the club in the Broncos trial and more than held his own against one of the best attacking centres in Kotoni Staggs. He had multiple defensive stops and set up his winger Treymain Spry for a long range try.
Fuller also had a couple of classy touches himself as well as a try assist. Don’t be surprised to see these guys debut if injury or COVID strikes.
Ed Note: Between writing and publishing, Shallin Fuller has sadly been ruled out of the entire 2022 season with a leg fracture.
Key Question
A question being asked by plenty of people in the NRL community at the moment is - will our young spine be able to perform together?
After Fogartys departure the average age of our spine is just 22.5 years old with Campbell only 22, Brimson 23, Sexton 21 and Erin Clark 24. This does worry me slightly as a young team can often crumble under pressure however I think we can make it work well.
All of the spine members seem to have an incredible bond off the field which usually helps on the field as well. Toby in particular also seems to have an extremely cool composure and doesn’t drop his head after making mistakes. I’ll also back one of my favourites, AJ, to excel in the switch to 5/8 which will allow his running game and electric speed to have more chance to shine with an increased number of touches.
Best Case Scenario
Being realistic I think best case scenario would be jumping a couple of spots on the ladder to 5th or 6th and showing that we are well and truly a club on the rise, rather than a one year wonder.
It would also require us needing to knock off some of the top teams and stop blowing massive leads as I touched on earlier. Toby, AJ and Campbell would shine together and we would have a youthful spine capable of playing alongside each other for a decade or so.
Worst Case Scenario
Often times in rugby league the best case scenario sadly doesn’t happen (although I’m hoping it does just quietly), so the unfortunate worst case would be that the young spine absolutely falls apart and does not click at all, which leads to our attack failing and an improving team like the Sharks or Dragons knocking us out of the top 8 and into the cellar again.
Here’s hoping that doesn’t happen.
Most Important Player
Two of our most important players for 2022 in my opinion would be David Fifita and AJ Brimson, who just both happen to be my two favourite players.
Fifita was criticised last year because of his price tag, however personally I think a lot of the negative commentary was ridiculous as he set a new try scoring record for the club and led the entire NRL in tackle breaks in 2021. On his day he can score try after try and be the difference between winning and losing.
Brimson is also a major factor in the game result, and there will be a lot of focus on his switch from fullback to the halves. However, with Toby steering the ship he will be given full permission to focus on his running game and using his speed to break through tired defences. Having the option to run yourself, give it short to Fifita or pass out the back to guys like Brian Kelly and Corey Thompson is very, very promising on paper.
Trial Overreaction
Sadly our second trial against the Warriors got cancelled due to the flooding in South East Queensland, so I do not have much opportunity to gloat sadly.
Fifita, Tino, Campbell, Brimson and Fotuaika were all named so it is a massive shame we could not see the full strength team in action prior to round 1. However, the Broncos trial in week 1 was extremely pleasing as a lot of the younger guys were absolutely towelling up the Broncos.
Whilst the score finished 26-all, anyone who watched the game knew that it was not a reflection of the game and our young guys were putting on a show for the first 60 minutes. As touched on earlier- guys like Jojo Fifita, Toby Sexton, Treymain Spry and Jayden Campbell were all strong while possible future guns like Ben Liyou and Jaylan De Groot (aka the man with the best headgear in the game), showed they have lots of talent as well.
The future looks super bright for the club and I hope we continue to move in the right direction. Bring on round 1!
Again, thanks to Anthony. Follow him on Twitter @gc_anthony
MANLY-WARRINGAH SEA EAGLES
Last Season: 4th - Lost Preliminary Final 36-16 vs. SOU, 34 points, +252
Contributor: Nathan (@SeaEagleSpur)
Key Signing
Ethan Bullemor from Brisbane is a nice gain, probably underrated at this point because I’m confident he will play for Queensland at some point.
But, our key signings were actually re-signings; we have managed to keep all of our young players like Haumole Olakau’atu, Josh Schuster, Sean Keppie, Morgan Harper, etc.
Key Loss
We honestly didn’t lose anybody we wanted to keep, mainly all our losses are by choice.
What Went Right in 2021?
Tom Turbo came back from injury as the best player in the world and stayed fit.
What went Wrong in 2021?
Game plan was probably a little off for finals footy & more experienced teams knew how to shut us down.
The Next Generation
Where do I start?
We have gun juniors coming out our backside, but the best of the lot is Latu Fainu, regarded tops in the country for his age. Closer to an NRL debut is Tolu Koula, who has clocked faster times than Saab for the club & impressed at centre in the trials.
Ed Note: Reading up on Fainu, the 16 year old has been re-signed by Manly on a deal that has the potential to eclipse the record-breaking contract for a teenager Moses Suli signed in 2017, worth $1.3M, according to reports.
Key Question
Can we match it with the elite teams in the comp?
Best Case Scenario
Everyone stays healthy and we win the comp, that should be our goal after last season.
Worst Case Scenario
We cop mass injuries and last season was just an aberration.
Most Important Player
I mean…Tom.
Trial Overreaction
If Koula and Saab play together, they’ll be the fastest edge in Premiership history and score 50 tries combined.
Again, thanks to Nathan. Follow him on Twitter @SeaEagleSpur
MELBOURNE STORM
Last Season: 1st (5th minor premiership in club history) - Lost Preminary Final 10-6 vs. PEN, 44 points, +499
Contributor: Em Sprouster (@emsprouster)
Key Signing
Xavier Coates is our key signing for this season.
I can’t think of the last time we signed someone who was already playing rep footy AND in the first half of their career, so that’s pretty exciting. It’s probably an unpopular opinion but I think we’ve missed Suliasi Vunivalu on the wing and we used to find a lot of joy through a good aerial raid and I’m looking forward to bringing that back into the options on the goal line in 2022.
Key Loss
Well, he hasn’t left yet but it still hurts losing Brandon Smith. Even if he played like shit for two weeks last year I still rate him. I think we’re really going to notice his presence missing next year and I hope he doesn’t pack up early this season.
Josh Addo-Carr is an obvious one as well, his speed is going to be sorely missed.
What Went Right in 2021?
We won 19 games in a row. We equalled the longest winning streak of all time. We had the best for and against of all time at +499. JAC scored six tries in one match. We scored 151 tries and 815 points in one season. We scored at 36.5 points per game. It was the most dominant performance since the 2001 eels (maybe even more so when you consider we did it at a faster rate).
What Went Wrong in 2021?
Somehow despite all of that we capitulated in the prelim. The worst performance of the year (and that counts the two times we lost to Parramatta).
Dropping the ball with the line wide open. Having a try called back for obstruction. Losing Welch and Smith. Munster’s kicking was trash, 5th tackle options were woeful, Harry Grant overthought everything and it lead to indecisiveness. We drifted from the clear game plan.
Bellamy said it best himself: “I’m not quite sure I’ll ever get over that loss to be honest, I think that form we were in during the season and the way the competition went, how the game was styled with a few rule changes, it was probably the most winnable competition we’ve had (a chance at) since I’ve been here.”
The Next Generation
Jack Howarth.
19 years old, an Australian Schoolboys and Queensland Under 18’s rep. He’s a terrifying 193cm and 105kg. He plays centre and I think he could even have a run at second row. I think he’ll inevitably make his first grade debut this year.
Key Question
Where are we at with the technology that will allow us to clone Craig Bellamy’s brain and put it into a body of a prime 30 year old specimen so he can continue to be our coach forever?
Best Case Scenario
Winning the comp, exacting revenge on Western Sydney and doing it in a more crushing fashion than 2017 or 2021. That would be nice.
Worst Case Scenario
Realistically, anything lower than 3rd and not making it to the GF will be an abject failure in my opinion. If that makes you hate me or us, well then that sounds like a you problem.
Most Important Player
Jahrome Hughes for control.
Cameron Munster for the ability to flip a game when he’s on.
Ryan Papenhuyzen for magic.
Harry Grant when he ascends into the Cameron Smith clone he’s destined to be.
The Melbourne Storm has always been, and will always be bigger than just one player, Immortal or not.
Trial Overreaction
No. Trials are dumb and you’re dumb if you care too much about them.
Again, thanks to Em. Follow her on Twitter (@emsprouster)
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Last Season: 7th - Lost Qualifying Final 28-20 vs. PAR, 26 points, -143
Contributor: Bec (@BecPrestwidge)
Key Signing
Adam Clune.
We need the consistency and a decent middle pairing. I think he’s a good fit with Jake Clifford, and his smart footy brain is going to help fill some of the gap left by Mitchell Pearce.
I think he’s a really smart player, who will execute set plays well, and should play a huge part in helping our team stay consistent this year.
Secondly, Joey Johns. The 8th is home! Having him in the coaching group is massive for our club. By all accounts, he’s already had a positive impact on the team and individual players. His direction and style of play will suit some of our boys and I can’t wait to see his influence on game day.
Key Loss
I don’t think many Knights fans would agree with me, but it’s Pearce for mine. And I say this purely for the direction and guidance he brought on the park.
He was vocal, he was emotional yet level-headed at the same time. Players have said that the leadership he brings to a team is priceless. The team were better when he was playing, and they might miss that this season.
What Went Right in 2021?
I think the team consistently showed that they will dig in and not give up the fight. Unfortunately at times it was too little too late.
I think that the NRL “bubble” brought our boys even closer and you could see that when they played. In spite of the disruptions and injuries over the last two seasons, our boys showed that they will back each other and give their all. I will deadset be laughed out of the stadium for this answer, but I’m an eternal optimist who struggles to see the negatives.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
We seemed, at times, to lose that raw aggression that we had once been known for.
In spite of there being consistency overall in some aspects, there were times when we completely lost direction and our hard running, hard hitting men were missing. Our forwards need to be on, all of the time. We can’t afford for them to lose that aggression at all.
The Next Generation
Luke Huth - once captain and player of year in Jersey Flegg, he’s a smart, touch player.
Ben Talty - already a quality forward with silky hands and will get bigger.
Other notable young players to keep an eye on are Mitch Black, Zane Camroux and Dan Ticehurst.
Ed Note: Shoutout to @HullKiwi for the assist on this section.
Second Ed Note: I went to school with the Camroux family, clearly destined to be a star thanks to my influence.
Key Question
Who are we signing to fill our last 2 spots???
Lots of talk and we’re just days out from the season kicking off.
Best Case Scenario
We finish somewhere between 5th and 8th. I think 5th or 6th might be just out of reach, the first half of the season will determine that of course.
Worst Case Scenario
Bottom 8 obviously. I’d rather reach the finals and get knocked out, than not reach them at all. I don’t think we will be bottom 4, I think our worst would be 9th to 12th.
As well as ladder position, an injury filled season would be the WORST! It felt like it took forever for us to finally have a full top side on the park last season, and we need that to be consistent this year. No more injuries please.
Most Important Player
Tough one. Too many people would say Kalyn Ponga, and I’d agree that he is very important.
I think the players that lead us on the park, however are most important though. Jayden Brailey (despite his devastating injury), the Saifiti twins, and eventually Clune. These are the guys that, hopefully, stick around, and these are the blokes we need to build around.
Trial Overreaction
We’re absolutely winning the comp.
Again, thanks to Bec. Follow her on Twitter (@BecPrestwidge)
NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS
Last Season: 15th - Missed Finals, 16 points, -288
Contributor: Braden (@Bradenjbrady)
Key Signing
Most people would probably say Chad Townsend here. The premiership-winning, incredibly polarizing halfback from the Shire that we paid way, way too much for. The guy we brought to give us professionalism, direction, and stability.
But you know what, I’m going to zig instead of zag and say our key gain is Peta Hiku.
The Cowboys’ biggest issue for the last few years has been our edges. We’ve been lost at sea and it’s been obvious. Too many moving parts, not enough cohesion, no clear communication or leadership and Hiku changes all of that. He brings experience, he brings a calming voice, and he will act as a rock in our inexperienced backline.
Key Loss
Fortunately, in a manner, our key losses all happened mid-season last year and we’ve had plenty of time to adjust. The leadership void of Michael Morgan and the talent void of Jake Clifford have been addressed (somewhat).
Time will tell how effectively.
What Went Right in 2021?
What went right with a team who finished second last and imploded mid-way through the season?
Well, good question.
In a way, an implosion can be a good thing, we’ve had tension bubbling behind the scenes for years. Tension around laziness, around getting the right players in the right positions, around egos, and a good little meltdown is probably a good thing for our club's long-term health as crazy as it sounds.
More traditionally however, what went right for me last year was some of our fundamentals. Fitness a big one and I think it will be more obvious this year.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
What went wrong is probably easier. Everything.
We had no positional clarity moving into the season, we weren’t flexible enough with our selections to meet the speed of the new game, and we shouldn’t have released Clifford early. It was just stupid. Most of this I see as a big failing of Todd Payten’s.
For some reason, he persisted too long with ideas and premises that obviously weren’t going to work. Too many slow big men in the middle, running out slow edges, and picking players that I would best describe as ‘plodders’. It was truly maddening to watch and I have to hope it was more of a lesson to a few players about their attitude as opposed to just having a bad eye for talent.
The Next Generation
Heilum Luki, Jeremiah Nanai, Griffin Neame, Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow as our first-choice fullback; take your pick, sit back, and enjoy.
Key Question
I’d just like to see more clarity. Clarity around getting our spine mix right. Clarity around getting our starting pack right. Sure would be nice.
Best Case Scenario
Best case is finals football, but I’ll be more realistic and say for us the best case is avoiding the bottom 4.
Worst Case Scenario
The spoon.
I do think we are too good for it though. We have pretty decent depth, a good mix of talent and experience, and we look a lot more cohesive and motivated than we did this time last year. We also come in with more clarity. Still, it’s a possibility, but I’m happy to go on record and say it’s one I doubt.
Most Important Player
I’m going to have to give it to Chad here.
I have my own concerns with him, but they are purely talent-wise whereas his most important asset is all about professionalism and leadership. About directing the troops, getting them in line and ready, and making sure we are all on the same page.
If he can play a very specific role for us where he doesn’t overcall the ball, he should be just who we need to help drag us out of the bottom four.
Trial Overreaction
Optimism? Tough to say. I saw a lot that I liked, but I’m still also very worried about a few choices Todd may make. Here’s hoping.
Again, thanks to Braden. Follow him on Twitter @Bradenjbrady
PARRAMATTA EELS
Last Season: 6th - Lost Semi Final 8-6 vs. PEN, 32 points, +109
Contributor: Mary K (@LadiesWhoLeague)
Key Signing
Great question that probably isn’t as relevant to Parramatta this year given the lack of signings made due to the stability of the squad.
If I had to pick though, Mitch Rein would be my response. Last year, due to a freak series of injuries to three players who could play hooker, Parramatta found themselves exposed in that position in the second week of the finals. Mitch Rein has experience and gives Parramatta some cover in the position.
Key Loss
In my view, no player that left Parramatta at the end of 2021 leaves the club exposed.
What Went Right in 2021?
At the start of last year my view was that for Brad Arthur to keep his job, Parramatta would need to progress past week two of the finals. I did not think Parramatta could improve, without that progression.
But I was wrong.
After the loss to Penrith, I felt better than I have in years. Parramatta gave it everything they had and I could not have asked for anything more from the squad. I was pleased with the resilience the team showed throughout the year, particularly to beat the Melbourne Storm twice and to bounce back after some big losses in the back end of the season.
New players like Haze Dunster, Will Penisini and Makahesi Makatoa impressed and I was pleased that Mitch Moses got the opportunity to play Origin.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
The injury to Reed Mahoney was extremely costly and if he had not been injured, may have resulted in a different finish at the end of the year. The string of games towards the back end of the season where Parramatta lost by huge margins to teams above them on the ladder was also extremely traumatising.
The Next Generation
Many fans will be aware of Will Penisini, but I am looking forward to his first full year in first grade.
As a Parramatta junior, he is a player all Eels fans should be excited about especially after seeing some of his touches in the trials.
Key Question
Is this the year that Brad Arthur finally pushes the Eels past week two of the Finals?
Best Case Scenario
I am a very superstitious fan Ben, but Parramatta is one of the teams that I seriously think can contend for the Premiership this year.
Best case scenario would be watching the team lift the trophy in October (after the women’s team do it in a few weeks).
Worst Case Scenario
Missing the top eight would be an absolute disaster and would seriously make me question the NRL transfer system even more especially given the number of key Eels players leaving at the end of this year.
Most Important Player
This is big year for Dylan Brown. People seem a little cold on Dylan after his season last year, but he is still young and knows he needs to improve.
I’m predicting that this will be a big year for him and am looking forward to watch him continue to grow and develop.
Trial Overreaction
Given the season ending injury to Haze Dunster, we should never ever play trial footy again.
Again, thanks to Mary. Follow her on Twitter @LadiesWhoLeague
PENRITH PANTHERS
Last Season: 2nd - Won Grand Final 14-12 vs. SOU (3rd Premiership in club history), 44 points, +390
Contributor: Nat Sinclair (@nat_sinclair93)
Key Signing
Sean O’Sullivan making his return to the club.
As we are already seeing, there are going to be periods in which we will be without Nathan Cleary, and now Matt Burton has gone and left a hole in terms of his replacement. SOS will be handy to fill that role as necessary throughout the season.
Key Loss
Matt Burton, with honourable mentions being Paul Momirovski & Kurt Capewell.
When Burton signed with the Bulldogs he had a lot of untapped potential which was realised throughout 2021 at centre. His consistent impact on every game will be sorely missed.
What Went Right in 2021?
Everything!
Everything finally clicked and we won the premiership after a gruelling team effort in the finals series.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
We copped a bigger injury toll than we had in recent seasons but we still managed to win the premiership so nothing much to complain about.
Next Generation
Isaiya Katoa, who is an absolute surety to lead the Dolphins to a maiden premiership in their first year in the competition.
Ed Note: Obviously sarcasm, and as a fellow Panthers fan, to Brian Fletcher, please stop talking to the media.
(Ben Q’s answer) In all seriousness, Izack Tago is primed for a breakout year after a few cameo appearances during the injury toll late in season 2021. Given the departures of both Grand Final centres Burton and Momirovski, Tago has first crack at nailing down one starting spot opposite the re-deployed Stephen Crichton.
Whether Tago’s future is in the centres or back row remains to be seen but he’s held in high regard around the club.
Another candidate, for me, is J’Maine Hopgood, a lock/prop hybrid who debuted at Magic Round last season. I think he has the requisite running ability and hint of ball playing to usurp someone like Matt Eisenhuth off the bench full-time.
Spencer Leniu as well, but he’s a fairly known quantity at this point.
Key Question
Will they be able to back up the performances of the last 2 years now we have already won the premiership?
A lot of why we won last year was a mental attitude and hunger that came from coming so close the year before. That will be hard to replicate as reigning premiers.
Best Case Scenario
Back to back, duh.
Worst Case Scenario
Slipping out of the 8. Can only see this coming if there is a long term injury to Cleary, and hopefully we will be able to learn to live without him in the opening rounds to soften the blow if this happens.
Most Important Player
Nathan Cleary without a doubt. He is arguably the best player in the comp, definitely the best half & an absolute master of controlling and leading the team around the park.
Trial Overreaction
I certainly hope so! Because the Eels trial was horrendous.
Again, thanks to Nat. Follow her on Twitter @nat_sinclair93
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS
Last Season: 3rd - Lost Grand Final 14-12 vs. PEN, 42 points, +322
Contributor: Matt Bungard (@TheMattBungard)
Key Signing
Souths didn’t make much of a splash in the transfer market in the off-season, due to both salary cap constraints and a squad that’s already proven to be good enough to make deep runs in the postseason.
By default the answer has to be either Michael Chee-Kam or Siliva Havili but neither is likely to feature much beyond during the rep period when a few key players are missing, or if there’s an injury crisis.
Key Loss
This one is easy. Adam Reynolds was the heart and soul of the Rabbitohs for a decade - a fantastic playmaker, a local junior and a leader.
Dane Gagai will also be a big miss while Jaydn Su’A showed flashes of brilliance at times.
What Went Right in 2021?
Pretty much everything after the mid-year, aside from two obvious incidents which we’ll get to.
After heavy defeats to both Penrith and Melbourne, Souths were able to re-group, knuckle down and play a brand of expansive and aggressive football that few could cope with. Their attack was a joy to watch in the latter months of the season, with Cody Walker having a career year.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
The Rabbitohs would have won the title if Latrell Mitchell hadn’t been suspended. They also would have won the title if Cody Walker didn’t throw that intercept. But here we are.
The Next Generation
The answer is the same player as last year - Lachlan Ilias.
The halfback will have first crack at that jersey for 2022 after debuting in the final round of last year’s regular season, and looking OK. It’s impossible to fill the void left by Adam Reynolds but there’s fewer better learning environments to come into as a young halfback than a spine in which the other three players are Latrell Mitchell, Cody Walker, and Damien Cook.
Key Question
They answered last year’s question which was ‘can they get past the prelim?’ with a resounding yes.
This year’s is even clearer - it’s can the Rabbitohs win without Adam Reynolds?
The answer is unclear, and while they’re like to not be as sharp without their former captain, the current rules allow for downhill bully ball more so than ever before in the NRL, which the Rabbitohs can do better than anyone in attack.
Best Case Scenario
The last time the Rabbitohs’ established halfback left for a big-money deal elsewhere, it was Chris Sandow departing and a young rookie taking his spot. Then it was Adam Reynolds, and things worked out fine.
If Ilias can even be a top 10 halfback this year, the rest of the roster is so good that Souths can still challenge for the premiership. And if he’s a level above that? Forget it, give them the trophy.
Worst Case Scenario
Ilias doesn’t work out, Souths have to chop and change in the halves throughout the season, Latrell Mitchell gets suspended again and a season that started with promise ends with finishing towards the bottom of the top eight and a meek week one finals exit.
Most Important Player
This is a roster loaded with talent, and you can make a case for any of Cody Walker, Cameron Murray or Damien Cook as the top dog, but there’s only one real answer, and that’s Latrell Mitchell.
When the enigmatic fullback is on-form, there is nobody better in this team, or in any other team on the planet. He has spoken all off-season about his maturity and if he knuckles down and stays on the pitch for the entire year, anything is possible.
Trial Overreaction
No, I’m not a loser.
Again, thanks to Matt. Follow him on Twitter @TheMattBungard
ST. GEORGE ILLAWARRA DRAGONS
Last Season: 11th - Missed Finals, 18 points, -142
Contributor: Justin Davies (@JustDavies90)
Key Signing
Francis Molo/Moses Suli.
Molo is a good addition to the front row and brings some grunt to the side.
For Suli, he adds some extra strike to the backline and gives the Dragons more depth which means we hopefully won't see someone like Tyrell Fuimaono playing there this season.
Key Loss
Losing Cameron McInnes sucked. He was the heart of the team for his time here but it might have been necessary moving forward.
What Went Right in 2021?
We cleaned out some of the junk in the squad and started to bring through some of the young guys to take their spot.
Also the Mikaele Ravalawa/Zac Lomax combination sprung to life and provided us with some great tries.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
Some small BBQ thing. Ending the season with eight straight losses sucked and still having Jack De Belin at the club.
The Next Generation
Jayden Sullivan.
He might end up being the best of the three guys who got their shot last year (Tyrell Sloan, Talatau Amone, Sullivan). He has all the skills and just brings some magic to the team and creates something from nothing.
Key Question
Can these talented youngsters make the leap to competent first graders?
Best Case Scenario
Being competitive, scoring points and hopefully challenging for the top eight.
Worst Case Scenario
If the kids aren't alright and the pieces we brought through don't pan out. Once again being close to the spoon.
Most Important Player
Like usual, it's Ben Hunt.
The halfback is the big money man and he was fabulous last season. He will need to be the steady hand alongside the youth we have brought into the side.
Trial Overreaction
Nah, I'll wait until our Round 1 win to overreact.
Again, thanks to Justin. Follow him on Twitter @JustDavies90
SYDNEY ROOSTERS
Last Season: 5th - Lost Semi Final 42-6 vs. MAN, 34 points, +141
Contributor: Dean Rob (@drob777)
Key Signing
Easily Connor Watson.
It has been a long time since we had a genuine utility in our ranks. He is going to provide a huge amount of value off the bench. Coming on to play hooker, or lock or even alongside Radley, which is an exciting prospect. Not only that, he will bring speed. With the fatigue factor and the rule changes, that will be a huge asset to us.
Key Loss
The Morris brothers brought stability to the side. However, it was Brett that was the true all rounder on the wing that we will miss the most.
What Went Right in 2021?
Not much, the injuries were an absolute disaster.
I'd say what went right was the resilience we showed and the depth in our roster. We managed to just keep winning against the lower sides and were close to sneaking into the top 4. The injuries also allowed Sam Walker to be thrown in the deep end and instead of having a few games off the bench under his belt after year 1, he now has a full season of getting bashed on his resume, which he will be much better for.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
We couldn't get a stable 17 on the park.
Players that were called up hadn't played a single game of rugby league in almost 2 years and we just didn't have the talent, energy or skill left to compete with the top 4 sides.
The Next Generation
This is what I'm most excited about. Yes the obvious is Sam Walker, but it's the likes of Egan Butcher, Fletcher Baker and Naufahu Whyte that excite me.
These guys also benefited from extra game time due to injuries and are in for a big year. They're not just potential prospects with a lot of talent, they're potential game breakers who can come on and produce a moment, a run, an offload, that can turn the course of a game.
Key Question
Who will step up and secure that wing spot that has been left vacant by Brett Morris?
It will be either Joseph Suaalii, Billy Smith, Paul Momirovski or Kevin Naiqama. Interestingly, all bar Naiqama are traditional centres.
Best Case Scenario
We have a healthy squad that can produce the best 17 for the majority of the season and we win our 3rd premiership in 5 years.
Worst Case Scenario
There are two scenarios for me. One is that we have an injury riddled season like last year and we fail to compete with the top 4 sides. The other, is that we have a blinder of a year and we end up falling short.
Most Important Player
It is and always will be James Tedesco for me.
His importance in our attack aside, I've said that in order for us to win the comp this year, our defence has to be better. Goal line defence included and Teddy, as our defensive organiser on the field, is the key person to that happening.
Trial Overreaction
Tigers fans should buy NRL Grand Final tickets ASAP.
Again, thanks to Dean. Follow him on Twitter @drob777
WARRIORS
Last Season: 12th - Missed Finals, 18 points, -171
Contributor: Jason Oliver (@JasonNRL)
Key Signing
Shaun Johnson without a doubt.
He brings the control, points and game-winning ability the team lacked last year. The right edge is one of the best-attacking edges in the comp with him there and is a consistent avenue of points - something they’ve lacked since he left.
Key Loss
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck has looked exceptionally dangerous with the ball while playing for the Auckland Blues in Super Rugby this year and it has been painful to see. It will take some time before I, and many others, get over the fact that he is gone and the club wasted his last season.
What Went Right in 2021?
Whether it’s the right call for the long-term or not remains to be seen, but having Reece Walsh run around in first grade has set him up well to hit the ground running in 2022. He had some rookie moments as you would expect but should benefit from the experience.
Overall, the Warriors showed a level of toughness in defence at times I wouldn’t always attribute to the club.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
Regular shuffling of the squad.
Some see it as a good thing while I see it as desperately looking for easy answers. Injuries and suspensions aside, it didn’t take much for Nathan Brown to shuffle the side each week. It makes it difficult to develop cohesion in attack and defence and it showed in their inconsistent performances on both sides of the ball.
The Next Generation
Rocco Berry could be one of the best-attacking centres in the NRL in a couple of years. He’s still very new to rugby league overall but has displayed some nice touches already.
His skip to the outside is lethal and he knows how to get his arms free to release an offload. The best comparison for him right now is a raw Zac Lomax.
Key Question
Is Nathan Brown the solution long-term?
There isn’t a lot there to suggest he is, but who knows? Maybe, hopefully, he surprises us and learns from the many mistakes he made before arriving at the club.
Best Case Scenario
There is a Top 8 team in there somewhere. It’s whether or not we can lean towards ‘yes’ being the answer above that will decide if they make it.
Worst Case Scenario
The Warriors have never finished up with the wooden spoon but I can’t rule it out.
An injury to Johnson and/or Addin Fonua-Blake would be a disaster and trigger yet another round of changes and reshuffles. Perhaps to the point the club changes the coach and sends Brown packing. Following this club is a rollercoaster and nothing is ever off the table.
Most Important Player
Johnson again, here. He will have a positive influence in many of the areas in which the Warriors struggled last year. I expect Walsh and Fonua-Blake, in particular, to improve just by Johnson being there. His combination with Tohu Harris playing in the middle is exciting, too.
Trial Overreaction
Honestly, I don’t watch a lot of trial games when I have 30 weeks of hiding away in my office ahead of me. Chanel Harris-Tavita running around at fullback is a head-scratcher, though.
Again, thanks to Jason. Follow him on Twitter @JasonNRL
WESTS TIGERS
Last Season: 13th - Missed Finals, 18 points, -214
Contributor: Simon (@simon_il97)
Key Signing
For the Tigers to have any success this year, it has to be Jackson Hastings.
While Adam Doueihi’s out we need some spark and creativity in the halves. When Doueihi is fit it’s beyond time we move on from Luke Brooks, as much as the club might not be ready to.
Key Loss
We didn’t really lose anyone of note. Moses Mbye would probably be number one but he’s consistently underperformed for us. Bummed to be losing Luciano Leilua for 2023, though.
What Went Right in 2021?
Young talent showed out.
Stefano Utoikamanu was an elite prop in his first season in first grade, Doueihi and Daine Laurie carried our attack, Tommy Talau will be really good with some added maturity and Jake Simpkin showed flashes.
What Went Wrong in 2021?
Everything else.
Coaching was a massive problem as I’ve said before on this site (Ed Note: Simon wrote a Tigers article about the limitations of Michael Maguire here). Didn’t adapt to the new rules, defence was horrible, attack was slow and outdated.
The team was also really let down by senior players and got too many rookie errors from guys who’ve played enough to know better like Brooks, David Nofoaluma and Joey Leilua.
The Next Generation
Not many true rookies in the team this year. Jake Simpkin is probably the unheralded guy at this point who has the best opportunity in front of him.
Key Question
Who’s the coach going forward?
Best Case Scenario
Start the season poorly and Maguire is fired after 6-10 weeks. This would give us time to hopefully bring in someone like Cameron Ciraldo mid-year, so they can see what they do and don’t like for 2023 and potentially finish the year with some momentum.
Worst Case Scenario
I’m not overly concerned about position this year but doing well enough that Madge is kept on would be a disaster in my opinion.
Most Important Player
Adam Doueihi, the dude is absolutely the heart and soul of the club. I’d happily give him extra time off to reduce his risk of a repeat injury and get to 2023 ready to go.
Trial Overreaction
Jackson Hastings is your favourite player’s favourite player.
Again, thanks to Simon. Follow him on Twitter @simon_il97
***
A huge thanks to everybody who contributed to this mammoth NRL season preview. Be sure to follow them on Twitter if you don’t already, and remember to #TalkTheGameUp.
Let’s gone rugba leeg.
